Pre-tourney Rankings
South Florida
American Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#255
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#257
Pace65.7#182
Improvement-3.8#322

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#255
Improvement-1.6#265

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#255
Improvement-2.1#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2014 313   Jackson St. W 73-64 75%     1 - 0 -3.2 -6.1 -6.1
  Nov 20, 2014 129   @ UAB W 73-71 OT 17%     2 - 0 +7.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Nov 23, 2014 32   @ North Carolina St. L 65-68 5%     2 - 1 +11.0 +7.0 +7.0
  Nov 25, 2014 115   Hofstra W 71-70 29%     3 - 1 +1.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 29, 2014 329   Jacksonville W 79-65 82%     4 - 1 -1.0 -7.5 -7.5
  Dec 02, 2014 58   @ Alabama L 71-82 7%     4 - 2 +0.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Dec 06, 2014 190   @ Detroit Mercy L 57-67 27%     4 - 3 -8.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 15, 2014 151   Georgia Southern L 63-68 38%     4 - 4 -7.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 18, 2014 86   Seton Hall L 69-89 23%     4 - 5 -17.4 +1.3 +1.3
  Dec 20, 2014 82   Florida St. L 62-75 16%     4 - 6 -7.3 +2.8 +2.8
  Dec 23, 2014 314   SE Louisiana W 78-63 75%     5 - 6 +2.8 -6.1 -6.1
  Dec 28, 2014 101   Bowling Green L 70-79 27%     5 - 7 -7.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 31, 2014 29   @ SMU L 49-83 5%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -19.6 +7.2 +7.2
  Jan 03, 2015 206   East Carolina W 58-50 50%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +2.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Jan 06, 2015 67   Connecticut L 44-58 19%     6 - 9 1 - 2 -9.8 +2.1 +2.1
  Jan 11, 2015 213   @ Tulane L 51-56 OT 29%     6 - 10 1 - 3 -4.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 17, 2015 74   Tulsa L 58-75 20%     6 - 11 1 - 4 -13.4 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 22, 2015 68   @ Temple L 48-73 9%     6 - 12 1 - 5 -15.1 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 25, 2015 67   @ Connecticut L 53-66 9%     6 - 13 1 - 6 -3.0 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 28, 2015 29   SMU L 52-63 10%     6 - 14 1 - 7 -2.4 +4.3 +4.3
  Jan 31, 2015 74   @ Tulsa L 71-78 OT 9%     6 - 15 1 - 8 +2.3 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 04, 2015 68   Temple L 48-61 19%     6 - 16 1 - 9 -8.8 +2.1 +2.1
  Feb 07, 2015 55   @ Cincinnati L 58-63 7%     6 - 17 1 - 10 +6.7 +5.9 +5.9
  Feb 11, 2015 267   @ Central Florida L 62-73 41%     6 - 18 1 - 11 -13.7 -1.4 -1.4
  Feb 14, 2015 87   Memphis L 48-75 23%     6 - 19 1 - 12 -24.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 17, 2015 197   Houston W 69-67 48%     7 - 19 2 - 12 -2.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Feb 21, 2015 206   @ East Carolina L 60-73 29%     7 - 20 2 - 13 -12.3 +0.4 +0.4
  Mar 01, 2015 197   @ Houston L 55-72 27%     7 - 21 2 - 14 -15.9 +0.5 +0.5
  Mar 04, 2015 267   Central Florida W 74-45 63%     8 - 21 3 - 14 +20.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Mar 07, 2015 213   Tulane L 63-67 50%     8 - 22 3 - 15 -9.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Mar 12, 2015 67   @ Connecticut L 43-69 9%     8 - 23 -16.0 +5.0 +5.0
Projected Record 8.0 - 23.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%